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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Nevada Las Vegas

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:23.0
Current RPI:23
Expected SOS:17
Current Record:24-9
Expected Record:24-9
Current Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-0
Current OOC Record:12-2
Expected OOC Record:12-2
Expected OOC RPI:23
Expected OOC SOS:73


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-972.73%23.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Nevada Las Vegas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Northern Arizona (255.0)BSkyH92-54W100%0.0
11-17Jacksonville St. (142.0)OVCH77-58W100%0.0
11-23Oregon (48.0)P12H79-83L0%0.0
11-24Iowa St. (41.0)B12H82-70W100%0.0
11-28UC Irvine (125.0)BWH85-57W100%0.0
12-1Hawaii (210.0)BWH77-63W100%0.0
12-4Portland (231.0)WCCA60-68W100%0.0
12-9California (54.0)P12A75-76W100%0.0
12-17Texas El Paso (95.0)CUSAA60-62W100%0.0
12-19Northern Iowa (83.0)MVCH73-59W100%0.0
12-22Canisius (112.0)MAACH89-74W100%0.0
12-29North Carolina (17.0)ACCA79-73L0%0.0
1-3Chicago St. (320.0)GWCH74-52W100%0.0
1-5Cal St. Bakersfield (235.0)indH84-63W100%0.0
1-9New Mexico (2.0)MWCA65-60L0%0.0
1-12Air Force (80.0)MWCH76-71W100%0.0
1-16San Diego St. (30.0)MWCA75-82W100%0.0
1-19Colorado St. (18.0)MWCA66-61L0%0.0
1-24Wyoming (75.0)MWCH62-50W100%0.0
1-29Nevada (171.0)MWCH66-54W100%0.0
2-2Boise St. (45.0)MWCA77-72L0%0.0
2-6Fresno St. (135.0)MWCA64-55L0%0.0
2-9New Mexico (2.0)MWCH64-55W100%0.0
2-13Air Force (80.0)MWCA71-56L0%0.0
2-16San Diego St. (30.0)MWCH72-70W100%0.0
2-20Colorado St. (18.0)MWCH61-59W100%0.0
2-23Wyoming (75.0)MWCA42-65W100%0.0
3-2Nevada (171.0)MWCA63-80W100%0.0
3-5Boise St. (45.0)MWCH68-64W100%0.0
3-9Fresno St. (135.0)MWCH52-61L0%0.0
3-13Air Force (80.0)MWCH72-56W100%0.0
3-15Colorado St. (18.0)MWCH75-65W100%0.0
3-16New Mexico (2.0)MWCH56-63L0%0.0